Looks like Deron might shut it down for the rest of the season...lottery looking better
I'm predicting right now - DWill's wrist injury will get a lot worse once he gets off the plane in Newark, NJ.
I bet he misses about a dozen games.
He needs to shut it down before he does some permanent nerve damage. Rose and Jennings have outplayed him badly the last two games.
He needs to shut it down so we can get a better pick. I wish Deron the best next year. This year I hope he calls it a year and the Nets go on a massive losing streak.
Why not us?
Because we are the Utah Jazz. And Stern would never let us be that lucky.
Nets are three games clear of both teams they're between in the win column. That draft slot seems pretty set.
I did a small bit of checking, but it seems as though head to head record isn't used for tiebreakers in case of a tie. Coin flips are used to break ties for non-integer averages of ping pong balls as well as draft position should neither team get one of the three lottery picks. That's encouraging if Toronto and New Jersey end up tied.
Still unlikely that the Nets move either way. If the Nets went 4-11 in their last 15, Toronto would have to go 7-7 in their last 14 to tie. Toronto has 9 of those on the road, and home dates with Miami and Orlando. One of them is against New Jersey, so a chance there.
With the #6 and #12, we'd have about a 20% chance of jumping up into one of the top 3 picks. Not great, but we can always hope! Besides, I know a girl named Karma who owes us one for what she did to us in 2005.I'm not going to get my hopes up too much about where we'll be slated to draft with our two picks (assuming we don't make the playoffs) but here's the thing.
Why not us?
Oftentimes, one or two teams jump the others and slip into the top three in the draft order. And if we have two picks worth of ping pong balls in the drawing, why can't it be us? Sure, we'll have lesser balls than other clubs who have just one pick but you get the point. Someone usually tends to slip in the top three so why not us?
Believe.
#6 and #12 would give us a 24% chance of landing a top 3 pick (7% chance at #1, 7.9% chance at #2, 9.1% chance at #3).
I don't think this is correct. It's like 5, 6, and 7 percent for the 7. The 12 is less than one percent across the board. So it should be something like 18% (Nets) + 2% (Us). But I've made plenty a math error before.
It's some coincidence Orlando has moved up and landed TWO #1's in recent times. We've moved DOWN twice in our rare appearances in the lottery. Something smells with that...