I don't expect the Jazz to be in the bottom three or four. I think we'll land in the 5-8 spot and still wind up with an all-star caliber player. Sure it would be nice to get a Wiggins, Parker, Randle or Exum, but the next tier down from those guys isn't too shabby, either. I actually wouldn't be too disappointed with the Harrison twins.
Being in the 5th-8th worst range isn't so bad.
The draft lottery has been held 15 times under the current format (30 teams, 1000 combinations, no teams prevented from winning lottery).
* 11 times at least one pick went to 5th-8th worst
* 6 times one pick went 5th-8th worst
* 5 times two picks went 5th-8th worst
* total of 16 top 3 picks went to 5th-8th worst (out of 45 total picks)
By individual pick:
5th worst in top three - 6 times (40%, #1 three times, #2 once, #3 twice)
6th worst in top three - 6 times (40%, #1 twice, #2 three times, #3 once)
7th worst in top three - 1 time (7%, #1 once)
8th worst in top three - 3 times (20%, #1 once, #2 once, #3 once)