As an aside, just how much more does Hayward provide than players like JJ Redick and Jared Dudley?
jj redick (These stats are unadjusted. Hayward played 2.4 less minutes than Redick last year, so imagine adjustments)
6 years older
4" shorter
less of a 3 pt threat @39 %. Hay shot .415% on season, 45 % after All Star break.
Is a chucker (6 3PA per game) vs. Hay's 3.4
Only 2.6 FTA vs Hay's 4.1 attempts.
.7 less rebounds
1.4 more AST (4.4 vs 3.0)
only .01 blocks per game, Hay had 0.5
0.6 steals to Hay's 0.8
2.1 TO's to Hay's 1.7
15.1 PTS to Hay's 14.1.
So Redick's averages are worse than Hayward's in almost every single category, even with less minutes. This last season was Redick's 8th season in the league, and his best, while this was Hay's 3rd and his best. How much does Redick have left? Hayward already posting better numbers than him.
Now Jared Dudley:
(played 2 minutes less than Hay last year. stats are unadjusted)
1" shorter
5 1/2 years older
less of a 3 pt threat @39.1 %. Hay shot .415 % on season, 45 % after All Star break.
Only 2.1 FTA vs Hay's 4.1 attempts.
rebounds are the same @ 3.1
.4 less AST (2.6 vs 3.0)
only .01 blocks per game, Hay had 0.5
0.9 steals to Hay's 0.8 (almost identical)
1.3 TO's to Hay's 1.7
only 10.9 pts to Hay's 14.1.
Dudley has played in the league for 7 years. His best season was 11-12 when he averaged 12.7 pts. Hayward just had his 3rd, played on a better team (with other players filling up stat sheet) and averaged better in all categories last year, except for .4 more TO's and .1 less steals).
Hayward is FAR superior to both of those players, with per-36's on par with Paul George (who wasn't deserving of a max). I full heartedly believe IND overpaid for George, and would like to see Hay signed between 8-11 mm. Hayward also has intangibles that neither of the above players possess, as well as untapped upside. Both Dudley and Redick have likely topped out and will start to decline (Dudley already has), while Hayward has been posting significant increases every season. Hayward is not a role player, he is a 3rd, possibly could be a 2nd option on a title contending team.
I think it is time you admit that you were wrong with your initial evaluation of Hayward's draft stock.