I'm saying that we're approaching receiving the #1 pick as if it's as doomed as picking heads on a flip when the previous ten flips have been heads, as if past events somehow dictate future events.
Well, they get Burks. If you've been paying attention to any of the Burks talk around here... plus, Williams, from what I can tell, is a capable veteran, who could play within their system and team concept, reinforcing the habits they want their players to have. Young players need that influence. They can't just trade for anyone and get that.
I'm just spouting ideas out here, really. I'm not married to the trade (though I'd make it in a heartbeat). As you can see this trade is mostly unpopular, but great for us. Some people have some interesting biases that prevent them from seeing this objectively. You couldn't possibly relate to that, could you?
Trying to accurately determine the worth of the pick =/= "doomed".
Again, if we value the pick more highly than Burks/Williams, why wouldn't Cleveland? If you see the trade as so lopsided that you would do it in a heartbeat, why does Cleveland do it?
I have plenty of biases, and no illusion otherwise. I can't see that this trade is great for us, nor does it seem unpopular. If I were to guess at the result, we'd be getting Bynum and the right to swap pick 21 with pick 16 in exchange for Burks and Williams, on the off chance that Cleveland still falls into the lottery. According to the people who seem to favor this trade, this trade works for us if we get another lottery pick, in which case Cleveland would be foolish to make the trade.