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What are the plans for next off-season?

infection

infection

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I’m showing a total cap of ~$82M. I believe the projected salary cap is $108. On paper it looks like 10 other teams, besides us, could hypothetically offer a max (or near max) deal (LAL, Hou, Phil, Orl, Pho, Dal, Atl, Brooklyn, Sac, Chi). Of course, this only my superficial glance so some of these teams may not have as much as advertised with capholds and such and other teams not on this list may be able to free up space with non-guaranteed and such.

We have have 5 free agents who, presuming a 150% cap hold (250% for Hood and Exum) will have the following holds unless renounced:

Favors $18M
Joe Johnson $15.76M
Hood $6M
Exum $12.5M
Neto $2.2M

Total: $54.5M, making our effective cap $136.5M.

I’m guessing JJ will not be back so our total holds would be more like $120.75M.

We have three guys with non-guaranteed second years that become guaranteed in July:

Thabo $5.25M
Jerebko $4.2M
Udoh $3.36M

Total: $12.81M

If we declined all options and renounced everyone’s rights, it could drop us down to about ~$70M (we wouldn’t and don’t need to). [Royce O’Neale is in here somewhere, too, but his contract is small and has a partial guarantee and not really worth mentioning].

Salaries thus far that are guaranteed:

Rudy $23.5
Ricky $15
Ingles $13
Burks $11.5
Mitchell $3.1
Bradley $1.7
Royce $1.4 (partially guaranteed?)

Total ~$69-70M, counting O’Neale’s which I’m uncertain on the guarantee currently.

Unfortunately, next year’s free agent class isn’t too inspiring. Any of the good free agents are restricted, which puts us in somewhat of a pickle — do we renounce rights to guys or decline options on other players so we can sign someone to an offer sheet, only to have it matched?

Here’s a list of 2018 free agents:

http://www.spotrac.com/nba/free-agents/2018/

The only real big fish on that list, in my mind, are Gordon and Parker — the former almost certainly should be matched and the latter more questionable. Other smaller fish include Avery Bradley. There may be more of people who opt out, but I don’t know who those are off the top of my head.

Others have tossed around the idea of waiting until the year after:

http://www.spotrac.com/nba/free-agents/2019/

Notables include Porzingis, Klay Thompson, KAT (restricted, not going anywhere), Russell, Jokic (restricted).

If we’re looking to go all-in this summer, then something like Rubio for Greg Monroe starts to make a lot more sense if it means not having to pick and choose as much among Hood, Exum, Favors, Thabo, Jerebko and Udoh. But in absence of moving Ricky for an expiring deal, it would mean having to drop a number of those guys to have the space for an offer sheet.

I do think moving for Love would be a solid move if LeBron leaves, but by the time the summer rolls around we’re more limited on salaries we can send over.

Any scenarios anyone sees? Is it worth making a bid on a RFA?
 
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Next year there isn't much available. Aaron Gordon will be matched at any price. You could make Milwaukee squirm by offering Jabari Parker a heapload. They have the inside information on him though, as far as how much of a recovery he's made or any lost athleticism. Personally I wouldn't gamble on Jabari, he was looking like a bad perimeter defender even before the ACLs.
 
infection said:
I’m showing a total cap of ~$82M. I believe the projected salary cap is $108. On paper it looks like 10 other teams, besides us, could hypothetically offer a max (or near max) deal (LAL, Hou, Phil, Orl, Pho, Dal, Atl, Brooklyn, Sac, Chi). Of course, this only my superficial glance so some of these teams may not have as much as advertised with capholds and such and other teams not on this list may be able to free up space with non-guaranteed and such.

We have have 5 free agents who, presuming a 150% cap hold will have the following holds unless renounced:

Favors $18M
Joe Johnson $15.76M
Hood $3.6M
Exum $7.5M
Neto $2.2M

Total: $47M, making our effective cap $129M.

I’m guessing JJ will not be back so our total holds would be more like $113M.

We have three guys with either team options or non-guaranteed second years (would love someone to clarify as the latter would give us much more flexibility):

Thabo $5.25M
Jerebko $4.2M
Udoh $3.36M

Total: $12.81M

If we declined all options and renounced everyone’s rights, it could drop us down to about ~$70M (we wouldn’t and don’t need to). [Royce O’Neale is in here somewhere, too, but his contract is small and has a partial guarantee and not really worth mentioning].

Salaries thus far that are guaranteed:

Rudy $23.5
Ricky $15
Ingles $13
Burks $11.5
Mitchell $3.1
Bradley $1.7
Royce $1.4 (partially guaranteed?)

Total ~$69-70M, counting O’Neale’s which I’m uncertain on the guarantee currently.

Unfortunately, next year’s free agent class isn’t too inspiring. Any of the good free agents are restricted, which puts us in somewhat of a pickle — do we renounce rights to guys or decline options on other players so we can sign someone to an offer sheet, only to have it matched?

Here’s a list of 2018 free agents:

http://www.spotrac.com/nba/free-agents/2018/

The only real big fish on that list, in my mind, are Gordon and Parker — the former almost certainly should be matched and the latter more questionable. Other smaller fish include Avery Bradley. There may be more of people who opt out, but I don’t know who those are off the top of my head.

Others have tossed around the idea of waiting until the year after:

http://www.spotrac.com/nba/free-agents/2019/

Notables include Porzingis, Klay Thompson, KAT (restricted, not going anywhere), Russell, Jokic (restricted).

If we’re looking to go all-in this summer, then something like Rubio for Greg Monroe starts to make a lot more sense if it means not having to pick and choose as much among Hood, Exum, Favors, Thabo, Jerebko and Udoh. But in absence of moving Ricky for an expiring deal, it would mean having to drop a number of those guys to have the space for an offer sheet.

I do think moving for Love would be a solid move if LeBron leaves, but by the time the summer rolls around we’re more limited on salaries we can send over.

Any scenarios anyone sees? Is it worth making a bid on a RFA?
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Hoods cap hold is like 7.5 and Exums is $15 which basically means unless they go we don’t have space. We can use the full MLE on someone that gets overlooked... I think we bring back Jonas and Thabo or trade one of them at this trade deadline to a contender... but likely keep them both next year.

I would stack contracts that expire next year and wait for 2019 if we want to make a big play. We have expiring contracts for 2018 FA so if someone is willing to work with us we could do a sign and trade.

Add maybe a bench piece this year with some upside. Seth Curry, Joe Harris, someone of that ilk
 
The thing, though, is that if we traded Rubio for Monroe, we’d have max space without having to bag anyone. If we strike out on someone like Jabari, we can offer an outrageous one-year sum (JJ Reddick deal) to someone to let them test the waters with us.
 
Use our expirings this year to pick up assets from teams that are cap/cash strapped and take on 2019 expiring salary. Try like hell to move up in the draft. Mitchell and Gobert are the only untouchables. Hope to re-sign JJ on a 1+1 (team option).

Punt on 2018 FA, target 2019 FAs (since two are UFAs just shy of 1st tier superstars in Klay Thompson and Jimmy Butler, in addition to a to-date grumpy Porzingis who would be the absolute perfect piece). If you strike out, oh well, you're just basically back to having a nice two-person core, some good role players (Ingles, likely at least one of Hood, Exum, or maybe Favors), and could probably keep Burks around.
 
I might be wrong, but I don't think the numbers listed for Hood and Exum represent their cap holds; they might be the QO's. I believe the hold for those coming off their rookie deals are 250% of their current salary. At least I read somewhere the cap hold for Exum will be $15M and for Hood $7M. Not sure about that $108M for 2018 cap. Didn't think it was going that high, but that might be good news/bad news for the Jazz. Increases cap room for Utah, but also means other teams could offer more for Hood or Exum.
 
Jack Strop said:
I might be wrong, but I don't think the numbers listed for Hood and Exum represent their cap holds; they might be the QO's. I believe the hold for those coming off their rookie deals are 250% of their current salary. At least I read somewhere the cap hold for Exum will be $15M and for Hood $7M. Not sure about that $108M for 2018 cap. Didn't think it was going that high, but that might be good news/bad news for the Jazz. Increases cap room for Utah, but also means other teams could offer more for Hood or Exum.
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I’m out of date on my CBA. I thought it was 150% but would welcome any correction.
 
If tanking is out of the question, trying to pry Parker away from MIL is the best move IMO. Even if it takes the max, as much of a risk as that would be.
 
karl malone said:
If tanking is out of the question, trying to pry Parker away from MIL is the best move IMO. Even if it takes the max, as much of a risk as that would be.
Click to expand...
I think the only good option is to trade for him. We would have to gut our team a lot to clear enough room to make a max offer.
 
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