I don’t think you’re understand the grasp of a swing pick. Rupert in the lottery is a swing pick. I don’t think he will warrant a lottery pick in a few years.
2023 NBA Draft Megathread
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I don’t think you’re understand the grasp of a swing pick. Rupert in the lottery is a swing pick. I don’t think he will warrant a lottery pick in a few years.
So at 9 the only acceptable outcome is “star”?
How many “stars” are there in the NBA? What if he “just” becomes a 6’9” floor stretching, high level defender that also rim protects?
“Booooooo!” Am I right? Almost no teams want or need those. Especially in the playoffs.
Meanwhile Scoot will get you 24 a night on 21 shots, in the regular season and be seen as a “star”.
I blame this on TikTok and Instagram….
Rupert shot 35% from the field and 23% from 3 in the NBL this year. You are definitely right about him making a few of his shots.
I like Rupert at 28 on if you can stash him overseas.
There’s a 50/50 chance he’s not in the league in a few years….
Bawse Dawg
Well-Known Member
No one would take victory laps over those stats. If they did we would mock them.
Players are drafted where their market value puts them. Rupert is probably going to get drafted in the 20s. Same with Cissoko. Same with GG. Even if you love a player, there's no reason to take him at 9 or 16 if you can get him at 25.
Does he? Wasnt he a top defensive player on a top team in Australia? Seems like a pretty safe player to have a Thabo-esque career.
Yea they would
So you’re bullish on him, then.
I generally agree, but this draft is pretty flat across a wide range, so you might have to draft a guy at 9 who could be there at 16.
That's fine. If you believe in his upside, you take him for the 50% chance that he pans out. Look at the Jazz's recent draft picks -- Dok, Jared Butler, Elijah Hughes, etc. A 50% success rate would be over-performing at this point.
Right… that’s not a swing pick then. You’re advocating for Bilal at 9 when we could get him lower. A swing pick is taking someone higher than consensus due to their upside and potential.
I’ve been anti-Rupert since last Dec
A lot of our takes are pretty similar in this draft. I feel good about that.
Handlogten's Heros
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Bridges isn't a star either supposedly... and was the most 3 and D guy in all the land early in his career... he built out some other stuff... Taylor may not do that but most people would not have guessed Bridges would either.
I don't drink... so I'll pass on your whiskey... you will need it more than me when trying to get through the GG Jackson G league games (I'm messing and not trying to be mean here)
Bilal's expected draft range is 9 - 13. The Jazz taking him at 9 isn't really outside his range. If the Jazz can get #10 from Dallas and take him there, then fine, that works too.
I don't drink either. I just made that up. I got through tracking Jarrell Brantley in the G-league, so I'm prepared.
Bawse Dawg
Well-Known Member
I’m super high on Scoot and would be first in line to mock anyone taking a victory lap and take my L if he becomes just late career Westbrook.