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Following Potential 2025 Draftees

I’m sorry, but it’s just bad logic to say that our guys are crappy and that’s why we don’t need anymore players at their position.
 
I have the opposite opinion where being unsure about our current players means we should be more willing to take similar types of players. If they were better like Kessler, that’s when you start to start to consider getting a different guy.

I don’t think having bad players at the position should influence the decision making. If we come away thinking Tre or Fears is the best guy, I’m definitely not letting Key or Collier make me stray away from taking my guy.

Getting a good lead initiator/ball handler is priority #1 and it’s because the guys we haven’t aren’t good enough.
Tre is a much different player than Key or Collier. If we think Fears is the best by all means take him but I have a hard time seeing that in any fashion.
 
The differences between Fears and Collier

-Collier's finishing at the basket and foul drawing was based entirely on his overwhelming strength, which was never going to translate to the NBA. Fears' was based on his elite body control which will translate (he will instantly have the best body control in the NBA other than SGA)... But Fears' explosion is so mediocre that I do worry about his rim finishing.
-Fears is just a whatever passer for a PG. Collier is an incredibly high variance and confusing passer, with true PG instincts and tons of elite passes and tons of horrible passes. Have never seen anyone pass like this other than Westbrook.
-Collier and Fears both were terrible shooters in college, but Collier's touch was bad whereas Fears' touch is great. Fears has a broken jumpshot form which is probably contributing to him missing most of his jumpers... But I don't know how good his jumper would be even with a fixed form.

I don't think Fears can co-exist with Collier or George long-term and he is obviously very similar to Collier though.

Fears is a very high upside, high risk pick. You need to bet that his rim finishing and foul drawing translate, that he's big enough to not be a victim on defense, and that he can get WAY better at shooting. He can maybe get to Kyrie Irving level if everything goes right? But he'll probably not end up as a starter as one of these things probably won't go right.

Have him 4th, it's really hard to rank him.
Long story short. A good gamble to take at #21. But #5? Hell no
 
You pick Fears because you think he will become a good shooter. There's no reason to consider him if you don't believe in his shooting after you fix his shooting form.
There's nothing to fix. It's just about getting reps and getting good shots.

You take him cuz you think he's BPA and he's one of the youngest players in the draft.
 
I have the opposite opinion where being unsure about our current players means we should be more willing to take similar types of players. If they were better like Kessler, that’s when you start to start to consider getting a different guy.

I don’t think having bad players at the position should influence the decision making. If we come away thinking Tre or Fears is the best guy, I’m definitely not letting Key or Collier make me stray away from taking my guy.

Getting a good lead initiator/ball handler is priority #1 and it’s because the guys we haven’t aren’t good enough.
i guess i disagree with this to an extent. if the jazz had a bunch of 6'6"-6'7" shooters, taking a risk on a short guy who can't shoot might be less painful. but when you NEED length and shooting, it's probably more prudent to take a chance on a longer player with better projection as a shooter.
 
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I’m sorry, but it’s just bad logic to say that our guys are crappy and that’s why we don’t need anymore players at their position.
but it's not bad logic to say - our players are crappy because they are short and can't shoot, so lets keep drafting short guys who can't shoot and hope something changes.

as they say, the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.

yes, fears could be different, but at this point in the game there are a couple major similarities - and one can argue it's simply not a wise risk to just keep drafting short dudes who couldn't shoot in college and hoping they get better. if you're banking on a guy improving his shooting, why not bank on the guy you already have who showed a ton of improvement over the course of the season at the NBA level, and draft a guy who can already shoot?
 
No, we can learn from our past choices and not take another chance on a guy like that.

So what is it, we can’t take Fears because these guys are good or bad? Saying that we don’t need a player implies 1) that we already have that player who fills a need or 2) the prospect isn’t good enough to fill any need. If it’s #1, you’re implying that Key or Collier is good enough which I disagree with. If it’s #2, Key and Collier are mostly irrelevant as you’re talking about an entire archetype of a player and not just the players we drafted.

Both Collier and Key outperformed their draft position btw, so I don’t know what mistake we’re learning from. If you’re unsure about those two, I say there’s nothing wrong with more bites at the apple.

I’m not unsure about Collier and Key because of the types of players they are, I’m unsure because they are not good enough. Plenty of players like them who are better and I’d love to have on the team.
 
but it's not bad logic to say - our players are crappy because they are short and can't shoot, so lets keep drafting short guys who can't shoot and hope something changes.

as they say, the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.

yes, fears could be different, but at this point in the game there are a couple major similarities - and one can argue it's simply not a wise risk to just keep drafting short dudes who couldn't shoot in college and hoping they get better. if you're banking on a guy improving his shooting, why not bank on the guy you already have who showed a ton of improvement over the course of the season at the NBA level, and draft a guy who can already shoot?

But that logic exists no matter what the roster situation is. If you’re saying you don’t want Fears because he can’t shoot, that exists with or without Collier being on the roster. Nobody is drafting Fears because they don’t think he can shoot. I feel like your argument for drafting or passing on a player should stand on its own. Players you don’t think are good on the roster should have no effect that on that.

I get what you’re saying. You don’t want to make the same gamble over and over. But I don’t think it’s relevant to only look at how that gamble played out with the few players on your roster. Like we’re literally talking about an N of 2-3 players. If I’m trying to determine the likelihood of a gamble, I’m not just going to take a look internally.

I don’t think we should look at Tre, Fears, or any other prospect differently because we have Collier and Key on roster.
 
i guess i disagree with this to an extent. if the jazz had a bunch of 6'6"-6'7" shooters, taking a risk on a short guy who can't shoot might be less painful. but when you NEED length and shooting, it's probably more prudent to take a chance on a longer player with better projection as a shooter.

What you’re alluding to is having certain players or skill sets you can count on. I don’t disagree with that effecting your draft position at all. For example, I think our decision to draft a C is different with or without Kessler is different. He’s both good enough and rigid enough as a player to change that.

I just don’t think we have anyone else good enough (and has a certain future) to impact the decision making at #5. The further you get down the draft the more you can start to consider lesser players.
 
I mean, anyone can be a scout. Not like you need to go to scout school and get a scout degree/certification. We are all scouts
It's semantics, for sure, but in this case I think it's important. A scout is someone who is qualified to evaluate talent. How they are qualified can come in many ways, but is typically by playing at a high level and/or working with other scouts. I don't think you can just watch YouTube videos and call yourself a scout. Most of us in here are draft enthusiasts, but I doubt many of us would qualify as a scout.

Not a big deal if the semantics aren't important to you, but for me if someone says they are a scout, I assume they have some qualifications.
 
I get the “we have this guy at home” kind of thinking. But if we took an honest look at what we have at home we should know that we need to go outside lol.
Its partly this but its also partly... how many guys in this player type are you going to swing on? I also just am not a fan at 5. If you want to swing on him I'd try and move back and get him later.
 
Its partly this but its also partly... how many guys in this player type are you going to swing on? I also just am not a fan at 5. If you want to swing on him I'd try and move back and get him later.

IMO, that number is mostly unrelated to the amount of guys we've already taken a chance on. Your decision to take another guard should be based on the success rate of all guards, not just the one you have on roster (and both could be considered hits btw). Maybe it becomes an issue if you're lacking the development time, but #5 pick has way more priority than any of the guards we have on roster. If you think Tre or Fears is the guy, I'm definitely moving Key or Collier to create space for my #5 pick and not the other way around.

If you're absolutely deadlocked between two players, that's when you can bring it in.
 
I don't have Fears in the same tier as Bailey and Johnson. However, if those two guys are gone, I could see Fears entering the discussion along with Edgecombe because on-ball creation is at such a high premium in the playoffs. Fears could be a major table setter.

Jazz could also be considering trade-back scenarios. For example, if I'm Washington I'd offer the Jazz 6 + 18 for 5 + 21. Jazz could then draft someone like Traore or Sorber at 18.
 
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