Stifle Tower
Punch Bowl Re-Filler
Perhaps because AJ/Millsap are the starters vs. Okur/Boozer. And a healthy AK. And a healthy Miles. Also, don't forget Korver was hurt for the first half of the season. So Raja or CJ replaces Brewer in the starting lineup. Hawyard comes off the bench like Matthews did initially.I agree with your ideas except for the very end. If AJ can be a 20-10 guy, isn't that really no different than Booze, so why would you expect a jump to 53-55 wins even with a slow start? In other words, what, in your opinion, about this team is better than the one we had last year to expect a better record?
I agree the Jazz may get off to a slow start initially as everyonbe learns their roles and the new guys learn the offense. But they did last year as well.
The difference this season is that the team is better balanced. Boozer was not a low-post threat. And when he and Miilsap played together, both were targeting that 12-16 footer as their main weapon. Now Al will work inside and Millsap (and Okur when he comes back) will complement with the mid range or 3-pt shot. Same at the 2/3. Brewer and AK were both similar players. Defenders weren't worried about leaving them open outside, as both needed to drive to the hoop to be effective. Now Raja can be another outside threat.
I also think Watson is a HUGE upgrade. Hiow many times did the Jazz squander leads or fall further behind when Deron came out? And how many times did Deron have to be brought back in late because what looked like an easy win had suddenly become a close ball game?