Welcome to the traditional annual "Colton's Mock Draft Compilation". This is the 2018 mock draft compilation, v. 3.0. Versions 1.0 and 2.0 can be found here https://jazzfanz.com/threads/coltons-2018-mock-draft-compilation-v-1-0.92981/ and here https://jazzfanz.com/threads/coltons-2018-mock-draft-compilation-v-2-0.93249/. This is the final update. For this compilation I used 22 mock drafts, all of which had been updated Jun 8 or later. As per @Xthren's request, I added three analytical models. I also added a couple of "big boards" (as opposed to mock drafts), a few more mocks I found, and removed some mocks that were out of date.
Here are who the mock drafts are listing as the "best players". See below for details. It should give a pretty good idea of who will be available when the Jazz pick. Currently the Jazz pick at 21 and 52 but of course trades can always happen.
1 DeAndre Ayton
2 Marvin Bagley III
3 Jaren Jackson Jr
4 Luka Doncic
5 Mohamed Bamba
6 Michael Porter Jr
7 Wendell Carter Jr
8 Trae Young
9 Mikal Bridges
10 Kevin Knox
11 Collin Sexton
12 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
13 Miles Bridges
14 Lonnie Walker
15 Robert Williams
16 Zhaire Smith
17 Troy Brown
18 Aaron Holiday
19 Kevin Huerter
20 Mitchell Robinson
20 Khyri Thomas
20 Jerome Robinson
23 Donte DiVincenzo
24 Elie Okobo
25 Chandler Hutchison
25 Keita Bates-Diop
27 Jacob Evans
28 Dzanan Musa
29 Josh Okogie
30 De'Anthony Melton
31 Jalen Brunson
32 Grayson Allen
33 Moritz Wagner
33 Melvin Frazier
35 Gary Trent Jr
35 Anfernee Simons
37 Bruce Brown
38 Omari Spellman
38 Jevon Carter
38 Hamidou Diallo
41 Rawle Alkins
42 Landry Shamet
42 Rodions Kurucs
44 Jarred Vanderbilt
45 Shake Milton
45 Raymond Spalding
47 Isaac Bonga
48 Trevon Duval
48 Kevin Hervey
50 Chimezie Metu
51 Kenrich Williams
52 Devonte' Graham
53 Brandon McCoy
53 Issuf Sanon
55 Justin Jackson
56 Malik Newman
56 Tony Carr
58 Devon Hall
59 Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk
59 Goga Bitadze
For full data see https://www.physics.byu.edu/faculty/colton/nba mock draft compilation 2018 - v.3.0.htm; sorry about the messed up formatting of the hyperlinks there but I don't have time to fix that.
Some observations about where the Jazz pick:
Pick 21
* The "best guess" for pick 21 is Kevin Huerter. Six mocks have the Jazz picking him there. The next best guess is Khyri Thomas; four mocks have the Jazz picking him.
* The highest ranked player that any of the mock drafts have available at pick 21 is Michael Porter Jr. (One of the analytical models has him ranked 26.)
* The highest ranked player that any of the mock drafts have the Jazz picking at pick 21 is Lonnie Walker. Four mocks have him as available there and one mock has the Jazz selecting him.
* The consensus "will be available at 21" players are Aaron Holiday, Kevin Huerter, Mitchell Robinson, and below.
Pick 52
* There is no "best guess" for pick 52.
* The highest ranked player that any of the mock drafts have the Jazz picking at pick 52 is Anfernee Simons. Eleven mocks have him as available there and one mock has the Jazz selecting him.
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Ranking details: I used the following mock drafts as "voters" for the best players. That is, I assumed they ranked the players in the order that they felt like the players deserved to be drafted. (This is an incorrect assumption, because some mock drafts account for perceived team need, but it should be close.) Then I used the "instant run-off voting" algorithm in a program I wrote to deduce who deserved to be ranked in the top spot, then in the second spot, then in the third spot, and so forth. See here for details on that algorithm: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instant-runoff_voting. Where the players ended up tied, I used their median and average rankings (in that order) to be the tie-breakers in how I listed them.
Mock drafts used (in order of last updated):
https://www.si.com/nba/2018/06/19/n...-trae-young-suns-kings-hawks-cavaliers-knicks Jeremoy Woo Jun 19
https://www.cbssports.com/nba/draft/mock-draft/ Gary Parrish Jun 19
https://jazzfanz.com/threads/2018-jazzfanz-mock-draft.93194/ everyone Jun 19
http://www.nbadraft.net/2018mock_draft ? Jun 18
http://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/id/23794672/2018-nba-mock-draft-perfect-picks-every-team ? Jun 18
http://www.mynbadraft.com/NBA-Mock-Draft ? Jun 18
http://walterfootball.com/nbadraft2018mock.php David Kay Jun 18
http://www.sportingnews.com/nba/new...-kings-76ers-lakers/f7dzlgimj7w913070zz2o6smq Sean Deveney Jun 18
https://www.usatoday.com/story/spor...nd-stars-deandre-ayton-luka-doncic/610055002/ Jeff Zillgitt, Sam Amick and Michael Singer Jun 18
http://www.nbadraftroom.com/p/2018-nba-mock-draft.html ? Jun 17
http://www.nbadraftroom.com/p/2018-big-board-top-30.html ? Jun 15
http://www.espn.com/nba/insider/sto...elton-luka-doncic-marvin-bagley-deandre-ayton Kevin Pelton Jun 15
http://www.espn.com/nba/insider/sto...-deandre-ayton-luka-doncic-trae-young-lottery Jonathan Givony Jun 14
http://www.basketballinsiders.com/2018-nba-consensus-mock-draft-ver-7-0/ Benny Nadeau Jun 13
http://www.basketballinsiders.com/2018-nba-consensus-mock-draft-ver-7-0/ Jesse Blancarte Jun 13
http://www.basketballinsiders.com/2018-nba-consensus-mock-draft-ver-7-0/ Moke Hamilton Jun 13
http://www.basketballinsiders.com/2018-nba-consensus-mock-draft-ver-7-0/ Steve Kyler Jun 13
https://nbadraft.theringer.com/ Kevin O'Connor Jun 13
http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/...model-makes-nba-draft-projections#methodology Paul Sabin and Seth Walder Jun 13
https://www.sbnation.com/nba/2018/6/11/17444258/nba-mock-draft-2018-haiku-luka-doncic-deandre-ayton Tom Ziller Jun 11
http://www.tothemean.com/2018/06/10/nba-draft-2018.html Jesse Fisher Jun 10
http://www.espn.com/nba/insider/story/_/id/21307077/nba-draft-rankings-espn-top-100-prospects-2018 Jonathan Givony Jun 8
If you have suggestions/requests for other mocks that should be included for next time, let me know.
Here are who the mock drafts are listing as the "best players". See below for details. It should give a pretty good idea of who will be available when the Jazz pick. Currently the Jazz pick at 21 and 52 but of course trades can always happen.
1 DeAndre Ayton
2 Marvin Bagley III
3 Jaren Jackson Jr
4 Luka Doncic
5 Mohamed Bamba
6 Michael Porter Jr
7 Wendell Carter Jr
8 Trae Young
9 Mikal Bridges
10 Kevin Knox
11 Collin Sexton
12 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
13 Miles Bridges
14 Lonnie Walker
15 Robert Williams
16 Zhaire Smith
17 Troy Brown
18 Aaron Holiday
19 Kevin Huerter
20 Mitchell Robinson
20 Khyri Thomas
20 Jerome Robinson
23 Donte DiVincenzo
24 Elie Okobo
25 Chandler Hutchison
25 Keita Bates-Diop
27 Jacob Evans
28 Dzanan Musa
29 Josh Okogie
30 De'Anthony Melton
31 Jalen Brunson
32 Grayson Allen
33 Moritz Wagner
33 Melvin Frazier
35 Gary Trent Jr
35 Anfernee Simons
37 Bruce Brown
38 Omari Spellman
38 Jevon Carter
38 Hamidou Diallo
41 Rawle Alkins
42 Landry Shamet
42 Rodions Kurucs
44 Jarred Vanderbilt
45 Shake Milton
45 Raymond Spalding
47 Isaac Bonga
48 Trevon Duval
48 Kevin Hervey
50 Chimezie Metu
51 Kenrich Williams
52 Devonte' Graham
53 Brandon McCoy
53 Issuf Sanon
55 Justin Jackson
56 Malik Newman
56 Tony Carr
58 Devon Hall
59 Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk
59 Goga Bitadze
For full data see https://www.physics.byu.edu/faculty/colton/nba mock draft compilation 2018 - v.3.0.htm; sorry about the messed up formatting of the hyperlinks there but I don't have time to fix that.
Some observations about where the Jazz pick:
Pick 21
* The "best guess" for pick 21 is Kevin Huerter. Six mocks have the Jazz picking him there. The next best guess is Khyri Thomas; four mocks have the Jazz picking him.
* The highest ranked player that any of the mock drafts have available at pick 21 is Michael Porter Jr. (One of the analytical models has him ranked 26.)
* The highest ranked player that any of the mock drafts have the Jazz picking at pick 21 is Lonnie Walker. Four mocks have him as available there and one mock has the Jazz selecting him.
* The consensus "will be available at 21" players are Aaron Holiday, Kevin Huerter, Mitchell Robinson, and below.
Pick 52
* There is no "best guess" for pick 52.
* The highest ranked player that any of the mock drafts have the Jazz picking at pick 52 is Anfernee Simons. Eleven mocks have him as available there and one mock has the Jazz selecting him.
----
Ranking details: I used the following mock drafts as "voters" for the best players. That is, I assumed they ranked the players in the order that they felt like the players deserved to be drafted. (This is an incorrect assumption, because some mock drafts account for perceived team need, but it should be close.) Then I used the "instant run-off voting" algorithm in a program I wrote to deduce who deserved to be ranked in the top spot, then in the second spot, then in the third spot, and so forth. See here for details on that algorithm: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instant-runoff_voting. Where the players ended up tied, I used their median and average rankings (in that order) to be the tie-breakers in how I listed them.
Mock drafts used (in order of last updated):
https://www.si.com/nba/2018/06/19/n...-trae-young-suns-kings-hawks-cavaliers-knicks Jeremoy Woo Jun 19
https://www.cbssports.com/nba/draft/mock-draft/ Gary Parrish Jun 19
https://jazzfanz.com/threads/2018-jazzfanz-mock-draft.93194/ everyone Jun 19
http://www.nbadraft.net/2018mock_draft ? Jun 18
http://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/id/23794672/2018-nba-mock-draft-perfect-picks-every-team ? Jun 18
http://www.mynbadraft.com/NBA-Mock-Draft ? Jun 18
http://walterfootball.com/nbadraft2018mock.php David Kay Jun 18
http://www.sportingnews.com/nba/new...-kings-76ers-lakers/f7dzlgimj7w913070zz2o6smq Sean Deveney Jun 18
https://www.usatoday.com/story/spor...nd-stars-deandre-ayton-luka-doncic/610055002/ Jeff Zillgitt, Sam Amick and Michael Singer Jun 18
http://www.nbadraftroom.com/p/2018-nba-mock-draft.html ? Jun 17
http://www.nbadraftroom.com/p/2018-big-board-top-30.html ? Jun 15
http://www.espn.com/nba/insider/sto...elton-luka-doncic-marvin-bagley-deandre-ayton Kevin Pelton Jun 15
http://www.espn.com/nba/insider/sto...-deandre-ayton-luka-doncic-trae-young-lottery Jonathan Givony Jun 14
http://www.basketballinsiders.com/2018-nba-consensus-mock-draft-ver-7-0/ Benny Nadeau Jun 13
http://www.basketballinsiders.com/2018-nba-consensus-mock-draft-ver-7-0/ Jesse Blancarte Jun 13
http://www.basketballinsiders.com/2018-nba-consensus-mock-draft-ver-7-0/ Moke Hamilton Jun 13
http://www.basketballinsiders.com/2018-nba-consensus-mock-draft-ver-7-0/ Steve Kyler Jun 13
https://nbadraft.theringer.com/ Kevin O'Connor Jun 13
http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/...model-makes-nba-draft-projections#methodology Paul Sabin and Seth Walder Jun 13
https://www.sbnation.com/nba/2018/6/11/17444258/nba-mock-draft-2018-haiku-luka-doncic-deandre-ayton Tom Ziller Jun 11
http://www.tothemean.com/2018/06/10/nba-draft-2018.html Jesse Fisher Jun 10
http://www.espn.com/nba/insider/story/_/id/21307077/nba-draft-rankings-espn-top-100-prospects-2018 Jonathan Givony Jun 8
If you have suggestions/requests for other mocks that should be included for next time, let me know.