BluesRocker
Banned
Burn
My bad. I should've read 64 pages of posts first before I posted.
I didn't mean it to be a jerk .. nor did I write it that way.
I didn't mean it to be a jerk .. nor did I write it that way.
Dang it.
We got N.O. playing better with three winnable games left. They just beat Houston. I hope they don't make a run
We are holding on by a thread here.
You don't find it odd at all that this happens to you a lot?
Well the only game tonight that was relevant to this did what they had to.
Except that NOH might pass the Warriors now...
**** me. That was a huge game. I'm one of those draft pick ********. All I'm asking for is one.
Well the only game tonight that was relevant to this did what they had to.
Except that NOH might pass the Warriors now...
**** me. That was a huge game. I'm one of those draft pick ********. All I'm asking for is one.
I still think there is a chance we get this pick. We have a chance at it falling to 8 still, but it probably won't. So even then we still have the chance they get slotted at #7 and get bumped. That 8 and 9 seed in the lottery hits more often than its odds would indicate I think. I like our chances still. Let's hope one of those last three games GS picks up a win.
I still think there is a chance we get this pick. We have a chance at it falling to 8 still, but it probably won't. So even then we still have the chance they get slotted at #7 and get bumped. That 8 and 9 seed in the lottery hits more often than its odds would indicate I think. I like our chances still. Let's hope one of those last three games GS picks up a win.
Well the only game tonight that was relevant to this did what they had to.
Except that NOH might pass the Warriors now...
**** me. That was a huge game. I'm one of those draft pick ********. All I'm asking for is one.
i wondered how true this was so i looked at the last few drafts out of curiosity. here is the recent history of 8-14 picks jumping up into the top 3.
2011: cleveland (from LAC) jumps from 8 to 1
2010: none
2009: none
2008: chicago jumps from 9 to 1
2007: none
2006: none
2005: none
2004: none
2003: none
2002: none
2001: chicago (from clippers) jump from 8 to 2
2000: none
so it looks like it happened three times in 12 years (or 36 total top 3 pick opportunities) -- 8.3% of top 3 picks since the turn of the century go to teams 8-14.
As of 2008, with 30 NBA teams, 16 qualify for the playoffs and the remaining 14 teams are entered in the draft lottery. These 14 teams are ranked in reverse order of their regular season record and are assigned the following number of chances
1. 250 combinations, 25.0% chance of receiving the #1 pick
2. 199 combinations, 19.9% chance
3. 156 combinations, 15.6% chance
4. 119 combinations, 11.9% chance
5. 88 combinations, 8.8% chance
6. 63 combinations, 6.3% chance
7. 43 combinations, 4.3% chance
8. 28 combinations, 2.8% chance
9. 17 combinations, 1.7% chance
10. 11 combinations, 1.1% chance
11. 8 combinations, 0.8% chance
12. 7 combinations, 0.7% chance
13. 6 combinations, 0.6% chance
14. 5 combinations, 0.5% chance
Good find.
So I was right, right?
Those are the odds just to jump to first too I think.
So its hitting at a 8.3% clip, and its only suggested that for the first pick it should only be between 2.8-1.7 for the 8th and 9th spot.
Somebody correct me if I am wrong.