For 2009
Draftexpress: 12 of the top 30 correct.
NBADarft: 9 of the top 30 correct.
Chad Ford: 13 of the top 30 correct.
Given the inherent unpredictability of the enterprise, if Givony isn't an expert then no one's an expert. I don't think you can really peg Chad Ford's additional one correct as being a big deal.
eh. even still. 40% is hardly that impressive. Mock drafts are pretty much guaranteed to be mostly wrong. I don't know why people pay so much attention to them.
Same reason we pay attention to what others think on a fan forum site... speculation is entertainment.
For me, he's not in my cross-hairs because he is only average size at PF at best, he's not a good defender, and he's been an atrocious defensive rebounder. He might be a low-risk player, but he also looks low-reward to me.Patterson is starting to really intrigue me.
eh. even still. 40% is hardly that impressive. Mock drafts are pretty much guaranteed to be mostly wrong. I don't know why people pay so much attention to them.
I like to crowd-source my mocks among those who do it professionally. It gives you an idea who will be available in a particular range. I guess ultimately your question boils down to "why read articles that look forward at all, why not just wait until the draft happens."
Exactly. I think if a guy gets picked within 3 spots of where you had him, then give yourself credit for that pick. I'll bet GM's don't do better than most of these draft "experts" just because everyone has their board a little different.I think a better indicator would be how far off each guy was with each pick.
Is a guy who got Rubio in the right slot but Flynn 5 picks off a better predictor than a guy who had Flynn and Rubio flip flopped?