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Locke interviews draftexpress's Jonathon Givony

For 2009

Draftexpress: 12 of the top 30 correct.

NBADarft: 9 of the top 30 correct.

Chad Ford: 13 of the top 30 correct.

Given the inherent unpredictability of the enterprise, if Givony isn't an expert then no one's an expert. I don't think you can really peg Chad Ford's additional one correct as being a big deal.

eh. even still. 40% is hardly that impressive. Mock drafts are pretty much guaranteed to be mostly wrong. I don't know why people pay so much attention to them.
 
eh. even still. 40% is hardly that impressive. Mock drafts are pretty much guaranteed to be mostly wrong. I don't know why people pay so much attention to them.

Same reason we pay attention to what others think on a fan forum site... speculation is entertainment.
 
Patterson is starting to really intrigue me.
For me, he's not in my cross-hairs because he is only average size at PF at best, he's not a good defender, and he's been an atrocious defensive rebounder. He might be a low-risk player, but he also looks low-reward to me.
 
If we didnt already have Milsap I would want Patterson, but they just seem redundant. We need a big who can play minutes at center.
 
NBA GMs could do mocks and they wouldn't get more than 12 or 13 right. That would probably high end. Some would be down around 7 or 8. The point being, making correct picks in terms of where guys are darfted has nothing to do with whether or not a guy is an expert.
 
eh. even still. 40% is hardly that impressive. Mock drafts are pretty much guaranteed to be mostly wrong. I don't know why people pay so much attention to them.

I like to crowd-source my mocks among those who do it professionally. It gives you an idea who will be available in a particular range. I guess ultimately your question boils down to "why read articles that look forward at all, why not just wait until the draft happens."
 
I like to crowd-source my mocks among those who do it professionally. It gives you an idea who will be available in a particular range. I guess ultimately your question boils down to "why read articles that look forward at all, why not just wait until the draft happens."

No it's fine. I just don't buy into the fact that they are going to be right most the time. Interesting to read occasionally though.
 
I think a better indicator would be how far off each guy was with each pick.

Is a guy who got Rubio in the right slot but Flynn 5 picks off a better predictor than a guy who had Flynn and Rubio flip flopped?
Exactly. I think if a guy gets picked within 3 spots of where you had him, then give yourself credit for that pick. I'll bet GM's don't do better than most of these draft "experts" just because everyone has their board a little different.

I mean, I think 95% of us would agree Wall, Turner, Favors, Johnson and Cousins will probably be the first 5 chosen. After that, it's a crap shoot. And like Numberica said, one unpredictable move can screw everything up. In the NBA, that was usually the Knicks (Balkman anyone?). In football, it's usually the Raiders). This draft, I really see it coming down to Sacramento & Golden State. I think the Dalembert trade actually INCREASES the likelihood the Kings take Cousins. But some think just the opposite. And GS could go small - they've never met a big guy they like. And they've been looking to trade Ellis. What if they decided to draft Henry to pair up with Curry?

My feeling is that the Jazz board looks something like this:
Wall
Turner
Favors
Aldrich
Monroe
Johnson
Babbitt
Davis
Aminu

I purposely left off Cousins. Doubtful he'd slip to #9, but I have a feeling KOC, Sloan and Miller are praying he goes early. They want no part of DeMarcus. Highly talented, poorly motivated. How quick do you think Sloan would have him in the doghouse asking to be traded?
 
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