Reggie (Portland, OR):
It's pretty obvious that LeBron is at the stage of his career where he's moving to the 4, and Kevin Love needs to go. What type of player (s) should Cleveland look for in return. Defensive wings? I like Hayward and Hood for Love.
Kevin Pelton (3:43 PM):
I still think you're probably going to need to sell to LeBron that he's not the power forward, at least during the regular season. So I think ideally a player you'd look to get in return could plausibly be considered a power forward. I like Danilo Gallinari from that standpoint. Jae Crowder would be awesome but I don't see the Celtics trading him for Love. I also think the Jazz would hang up the phone before the Cavaliers could even finish that offer given how little sense Love makes for a team with two starting frontcourt players.
Atom (Athens, GA)
A fair amount of fans want their franchises to trade up in this draft to get X player. What are the chances a top 10 pick in this draft develops into a player as good as Gordon Hayward?
Kevin Pelton (4:18 PM)
A couple of years ago I looked at the distribution of outcomes for players based on their stats-only projections:
https://espn.go.com/nba/insider/story/_/id/11138673/marcus-smart-top-draft-prospects-based-warp-nba
Hayward's career is probably somewhere between the average of the players with 3-4 projected WARP and those with 4-plus WARP. So let's say a Hayward-equivalent prospect would have to have a WARP projection around 4. Nobody in this draft has that good a projection.
Now obviously you're also getting this player on a bargain contract, so whether they're likely to be as good as Hayward isn't the only relevant metric. But that should put into stark relief how much uncertainty there is about every draft prospect.