Everyone seems so sure that Putin wants to invade Ukraine. It is possible he does but I really think he is after something else, and no it is not a NATO guarantee. I don't think he cares about that either and he knows Ukraine stands zero chance of convincing Europe to let them in to NATO.
I think there is a good chance that what Putin wanted all along is money. His military exercises on the border of Ukraine have spiked global oil prices by 15%. Roughly 40% of Russia's entire federal budget is from oil and gas revenues. Raising global oil prices by 15% just raised the amount of money flowing in to Russian government accounts by 15% and all it took was sending the military to conduct some drills on the border where the satellites could take pictures of them for CNN to broadcast to the world.
Russia's oil export revenue increases to $77.9 billion in first nine months of 2021 - Anadolu Ajansı
www.aa.com.tr
As a bonus, it also really hurts the United States because it drives inflation. Putin thanks you for your panic.
The cost of living is already very high in America. The Russia-Ukraine crisis could make it even worse.
www.cnn.com