Sardines
Well-Known Member
Well and if you are a serious manufacturer you can do simple arithmetic. They consider building a major manufacturing facility. Finding a location takes at least a few months. Getting architectural plans drawn up, at least a few months. Getting permits and necessary utility work done, possibly years but lets say things are perfect and it just takes a few months. We are now comfortably more than a year into the process and we haven't broken ground yet. Construction begins, takes 18 months. We are talking about heavy industrial construction here, high voltage, stronger than normal foundation, safety regulations, etc.. Now capital equipment needs to be installed. It was ordered while the everything else was going on so it might be ready to go once construction is finished. Install takes 6 months to a year before the equipment is ready to produce sellable product, for certain industries (medical, semiconductor) it will be much longer than that. Now the nightmare of hiring all your skilled positions begins. You can begin production on a limited basis with less than the final headcount but even that takes about 8 months with finding, interviewing, background checking, relocating (you're gonna need to relocate a lot of the skilled labor most likely), training, replacing as there will be turnover right from the start. Now you're more than 4 years into this deal and you're producing at 30% your total capacity. Assuming getting above 80% capacity soon it will take ten years before you've paid for all these startup costs. Trump is no longer in office and work has begun to renormalize U.S. trade relations with the rest of the world. It no longer makes sense to build whatever it is you're building here so you shut down before you ever really begin producing.
No one is going to do this.
