Yeah, after I gave it a listen earlier today I think I was a little harsh on the odds of it happening.
And that is kind of why I said "this is a valid reason". This is fair but I do think the chances a top 10 pick this year far exceeds the value of what that swap would be are fairly low but not zero. Like there is a potential for a catastrophe there but its like a 5% or less type of deal. But yeah we buy insurance to protect ourselves against low probability things like this so its a valid fear.
This is a similar feeling to how I think about the ‘27 Lakers pick. There’s a non-zero (and not insignificant) chance that it’s a second rounder.
Yeah no idea on the math but I'd guess its like a 5% chance all of that happens and the Wolves or Cavs are in the bottom 10 and we are not... then it would really hit the fan if they landed the #1 pick which is like a 4-5% chance on its own.
But if that happens, assuming the second rounder is their own pick it will be an early second rounder, which according to HH is a late first.
Right but lets say they tank their faces off to the worst record. 48% chance we get the 5th pick or a pick in the 30s. I would take that over a guarantee we get the 18th pick or something like that. I know the Lakers could also rig it so they are 14th and win the lotto... I still think we trust the math (not like Quin who didn't get the math right).
I feel seen.
5% sounds about right. As a Jazz fan that's enough to keep me up at night. What were our odds of playing Houston that one year and then it ended up happening?
I guess I just hate sarcasm in basketball pods. The "is that good" *snickering* as you read something that is obviously good just grates to me to no end, especially when it's repeated constantly. Sam Vecenie loves that, so I can hear the clear Vecenie influence there.
If they're out of the playoffs, just go ahead and pencil in that pick as being "a new late first." There's no way that pick conveys to us.
We will see.
yeah I mean its hard to be all things to all people. Its not a Vecenie thing... I'm just sarcastic. We are jackpotting around. Sometimes we might argue... sometimes we might geek out about the guys we like. What we have found is that people here are more detailed and educated and we make assumptions people understand things that the masses don't. We don't know what it will be but it will be us. If you feel you want to go elsewhere I understand. If you want to hear a certain type of pod that isn't out there... then start it.
I'm all for conspiracy theories... they are fun. In the end I would trust things are on the up and up. If we are that skeptical then we may want to consider not being a fan of the team as there are easier ways to screw us that will surely happen.
It would be hard for him to improve his efficiency. Like for a guard he is tippy top tier. it would have to be volume.
1. Yes, they are completely incompatible. I mean cmon dude. Two small backcourt players who are both average defenders (at best, being very generous to both that they improve more on that end). Dont overthink it. This **** has ultimately failed for more talented pairings who were less flawed and less defensively challenged.
Yeah I mean I agree somewhat but it also depends on where you are and where you are going. It will work well enough until other better obvious options reveal themselves.
Both guys are developing now. I don't see us needing to make a decision yet. Next year is critical for both guys. Get an amazing offer for one in the meantime then by all means make a decision.
We don't know... that's why we will be patient. Patience and indecision are also very much a cowardly GM go to move.
Well take your own analogy and learn lessons from it.
