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Jazz 2017/18 Playoff Bus! All Aboard!

LifeOnaPlate said:
This. I sense Utah's won more of the pressure games down the stretch than lost them.
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I mean we were on a 6 game winning streak before last night, and played some good teams. We're fine.

Also, I'm really hoping that the Spurs have really just been messing with the League all season, and that Kawhi comes out in game 1 and puts up 40 on the Warriors.
 
LifeOnaPlate said:
This. I sense Utah's won more of the pressure games down the stretch than lost them.
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They won all the games that actually mattered and most of them very convincingly.

Every team in the NBA has had some losses down the stretch. Some of them that mattered and some that didnt matter so the team put in a low effort. Just like the Jazz put in a low effort in a meaningless game against Portland and Warriors put in a low effort in a meaningless game against the Jazz, NBD.
 
str8line said:
We lost to the Trailblazers twice, Rockets, Spurs and Celtics. And of course the loss to the Hawks.

We did have two great wins against GS but they had injuries... still great wins.

Almost all of the other wins came against teams that aren't that good. Yes, we did beat Minny and the Pels.

But our other biggest games we not only lost, but got pretty soundly beaten. The Celtics loss was tough because they were missing Horford, Kyrie, Hayward, and another key player I think. Portland crushed us twice. Spurs manhandled us without Kawhi. Rockets crushed us.

We are a very good team that just didn't play well against the best teams. It would have been nice to at least have competitive losses.
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Over our 29-6 run to end the season we beat a lot of good teams in a lot of tough games...

Jan 26th at Toronto we won 97-93
Jan 30th vs Golden St (they were full strength) we won 129-99
Feb 3rd at San Antonio we won 120-111
Feb 5th at New Orleans we won 133-109
Feb 11th at Portland we won 115-96
Feb 12th vs San Antonio we won 101-99
Mar 2nd vs Minnesota we won 116-108
Mar 7th at Indiana we won 104-84
Mar 11th at New Orleans we won 116-99
Mar 25th at Golden St we won 110-91
Apr 1st at Minnesota we won 121-97
Apr 10th vs Golden St we won 119-79

We can beat good teams.

Looking at our 6 losses over the same stretch one thing stands out...
Feb 23rd vs Portland we lost 100-81. We shot 42.3% from the field and 24.0% from 3. We held Portland to 44.8% FG/37.5% 3. We just couldn't hit a shot.
Feb 26th vs Houston we lost 96 85. We shot 43.7% from the field and 24.1% from 3. We held Houston to 43.0% FG/ 27.3% 3. We just couldn't hit a shot.
Mar 20th vs Atlanta we lost 99-94. We shot 37.1% from the field and 17.6% from 3. We held Atlanta to 40.4% FG/27.3% 3. We just couldn't hit a shot.
Mar 23rd at San Antonio we lost 124-120 in overtime. This game was an exception to the others. An outlier. We shot the ball well 48.9% FG/39.3% 3. They just had a monster shooting night 51.1% FG/42.1% 3 and a career game from Lamarcus Aldridge (45 points). We fought hard and fell short.
Mar 28th vs Boston we lost 97-94. We shot 41.5% from the field and 27.3% from 3 .
Apr 11th at Portland we lost 102-93. We shot 37.1% from the field and 34.8% from 3.

When we shoot at a decent clip we tend to win. If our shots are falling in the playoffs we can beat anyone because we are the best defensive team in the NBA. Our one Achilles heel is that on occasion our shooting goes cold. Hopefully we get red hot.
 
It is crazy how our shooting goes cold for everyone on the team. I could not believe how many layup we would normally hit easily we missed outright last night. If we hit half of those we missed, which we would have normally made, we are in this to the end. Let alone the wide open 3's and other good looks we just didn't knock down. But again, it is so weird how we seem to role as a whole team, whether good or bad.
 
LifeOnaPlate said:
Thanks for running the numbers, SCS.
(Isn't eFG% a better marker than regular FG%?)
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Yeah it is. Good point. Here's our eFG% in those 6 losses
Feb 23rd vs Portland- 46.2%
Feb 26th vs Houston- 48.6%
Mar 20th vs Atlanta- 40.4%
Mar 23rd at San Antonio- 55.1%
Mar 28th vs Boston- 47.0%
Apr 11th at Portland- 41.6%
 
SCS said:
Over our 29-6 run to end the season we beat a lot of good teams in a lot of tough games...

Jan 26th at Toronto we won 97-93
Jan 30th vs Golden St (they were full strength) we won 129-99
Feb 3rd at San Antonio we won 120-111
Feb 5th at New Orleans we won 133-109
Feb 11th at Portland we won 115-96
Feb 12th vs San Antonio we won 101-99
Mar 2nd vs Minnesota we won 116-108
Mar 7th at Indiana we won 104-84
Mar 11th at New Orleans we won 116-99
Mar 25th at Golden St we won 110-91
Apr 1st at Minnesota we won 121-97
Apr 10th vs Golden St we won 119-79

We can beat good teams.

Looking at our 6 losses over the same stretch one thing stands out...
Feb 23rd vs Portland we lost 100-81. We shot 42.3% from the field and 24.0% from 3. We held Portland to 44.8% FG/37.5% 3. We just couldn't hit a shot.
Feb 26th vs Houston we lost 96 85. We shot 43.7% from the field and 24.1% from 3. We held Houston to 43.0% FG/ 27.3% 3. We just couldn't hit a shot.
Mar 20th vs Atlanta we lost 99-94. We shot 37.1% from the field and 17.6% from 3. We held Atlanta to 40.4% FG/27.3% 3. We just couldn't hit a shot.
Mar 23rd at San Antonio we lost 124-120 in overtime. This game was an exception to the others. An outlier. We shot the ball well 48.9% FG/39.3% 3. They just had a monster shooting night 51.1% FG/42.1% 3 and a career game from Lamarcus Aldridge (45 points). We fought hard and fell short.
Mar 28th vs Boston we lost 97-94. We shot 41.5% from the field and 27.3% from 3 .
Apr 11th at Portland we lost 102-93. We shot 37.1% from the field and 34.8% from 3.

When we shoot at a decent clip we tend to win. If our shots are falling in the playoffs we can beat anyone because we are the best defensive team in the NBA. Our one Achilles heel is that on occasion our shooting goes cold. Hopefully we get red hot.
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Post of the year nominee right here.

Thanks doing the game by game thing. I was going to do that when I had some time but now I dont have to.
 
SCS said:
Over our 29-6 run to end the season we beat a lot of good teams in a lot of tough games...

Jan 26th at Toronto we won 97-93
Jan 30th vs Golden St (they were full strength) we won 129-99
Feb 3rd at San Antonio we won 120-111
Feb 5th at New Orleans we won 133-109
Feb 11th at Portland we won 115-96
Feb 12th vs San Antonio we won 101-99
Mar 2nd vs Minnesota we won 116-108
Mar 7th at Indiana we won 104-84
Mar 11th at New Orleans we won 116-99
Mar 25th at Golden St we won 110-91
Apr 1st at Minnesota we won 121-97
Apr 10th vs Golden St we won 119-79

We can beat good teams.

Looking at our 6 losses over the same stretch one thing stands out...
Feb 23rd vs Portland we lost 100-81. We shot 42.3% from the field and 24.0% from 3. We held Portland to 44.8% FG/37.5% 3. We just couldn't hit a shot.
Feb 26th vs Houston we lost 96 85. We shot 43.7% from the field and 24.1% from 3. We held Houston to 43.0% FG/ 27.3% 3. We just couldn't hit a shot.
Mar 20th vs Atlanta we lost 99-94. We shot 37.1% from the field and 17.6% from 3. We held Atlanta to 40.4% FG/27.3% 3. We just couldn't hit a shot.
Mar 23rd at San Antonio we lost 124-120 in overtime. This game was an exception to the others. An outlier. We shot the ball well 48.9% FG/39.3% 3. They just had a monster shooting night 51.1% FG/42.1% 3 and a career game from Lamarcus Aldridge (45 points). We fought hard and fell short.
Mar 28th vs Boston we lost 97-94. We shot 41.5% from the field and 27.3% from 3 .
Apr 11th at Portland we lost 102-93. We shot 37.1% from the field and 34.8% from 3.

When we shoot at a decent clip we tend to win. If our shots are falling in the playoffs we can beat anyone because we are the best defensive team in the NBA. Our one Achilles heel is that on occasion our shooting goes cold. Hopefully we get red hot.
Click to expand...

Crazy that eight of those twelve wins against the toughest teams were on the road. Defense travels. And in looking at the scores so does offense apparently.
 
str8line said:
Crazy that eight of those twelve wins against the toughest teams were on the road. Defense travels. And in looking at the scores so does offense apparently.
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Which is a crazy turn around. The first half of the season we had the best home defense and the worst road defense in the NBA, which is quite extreme.
 
Ron Mexico said:
They won all the games that actually mattered and most of them very convincingly.

Every team in the NBA has had some losses down the stretch. Some of them that mattered and some that didnt matter so the team put in a low effort. Just like the Jazz put in a low effort in a meaningless game against Portland and Warriors put in a low effort in a meaningless game against the Jazz, NBD.
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Yes, the game was meaningless. Why would we possibly have wanted home court.
 
I was looking at my posts from this thread and I nailed the playoffs a month ago lol

SCS said:
Looking at our remaining schedule 14-4 looks extremely doable. 48-34 wouid get us into the playoffs with room to spare I would think.
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^ Quote from March 6th

SCS said:
So these are the teams I think will make into the playoffs after looking at the remaining schedules, team statistics, and so on

Houston Rockets (51-13)- Obviously
Golden State Warriors (51-14)- Obviously
Portland Trailblazers (39-26)- It would take an epic collapse for them to fall completely out of the playoffs with the cushion they have in the standings right now. I don't see it happening. They could drop in the seeding though.
New Orleans Pelicans (38-26)- I don't think that this team is anywhere near as good as their current winning streak, record, or seed suggests. However, just like the Blazers it would take an epic collapse for them to fall out of the playoffs. I think they're in but will drop in the seeding.
San Antonio Spurs (37-28)- I hate the Spurs. I really really do. But until they actually miss the playoffs I'm not buying the idea of their demise. Even without Kawhi they are still a quality team. Especially on the defensive end. I expect them to find a way in.
Oklahoma City Thunder (38-29)- They are top 10 in both offensive and defensive rating and they have a good point differential. I don't see Westbrook allowing them to miss the playoffs.
Utah Jazz (35-30)- We're gonna get in y'all. We're simply too good of a team with a healthy Rudy Gobert to miss the playoffs.

That leaves 1 playoff spot. I think that the Timberwolves will get it but they are in danger without Jimmy Butler. They are a team that relies on outscoring opposing teams because they are bad on defense. Without Butler's offense they struggle to outscore opponents. They are going to have to pull it together quickly to hold on. I think they probably will by the skin of their teeth. Which means that the Clippers and Nuggets will end up missing out. I have no idea what the seeds will look like.
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^ Quote from March 9th
 
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