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I have to talk about the grotesque claim being peddled by the media that Elon Musk will responsible for the death of 300,000 children as a result of USAID cuts.
The 300,000-death claim comes from Brooke Nichols, a Boston University academic whose “Impact Counter” supposedly tracks lives lost due to USAID’s budget slashing.
Nichols’ methodology, as breathlessly parroted by The New York Times, NPR, and The Washington Post, is a straight-line projection based on 2024 USAID funding and historical mortality rates.
Sounds fancy, right? It’s not. It’s a glorified Excel spreadsheet with “huge error bars,” as Nichols herself admits, that assumes every USAID program vanished overnight and no one else not NGOs, other countries, or local governments step in.
This is statistical malpractice. Health outcomes don’t collapse the second funding stops; they erode over time. HIV patients don’t drop dead in weeks, and malnutrition deaths hinge on food supply chains, not just USAID checks.
Yet Nichols’ model claims 300,000 kids are already dead or dying by mid-2025, mere months after Trump’s January 20, 2025, executive order.
Where’s the evidence? There isn’t any. No audits, no body counts, no reports, just a computer spitting out scary numbers.
Worse, the model doesn’t account for waivers Trump issued for “life-saving” programs, like limited PEPFAR funding for HIV treatment.
And what about the Global Fund or UNICEF? USAID isn’t the only player in global health. TB programs, for instance, get just 25% of their international cash from USAID.
Nichols’ apocalyptic math pretends no one else exists. This isn’t science; it’s deranged activism with a broken calculator.
The media’s handling of this story is a case study in journalistic malpractice. Outlets like The New York Times and NPR didn’t just report Nichols’ number; they amplified it without a shred of skepticism. No one asked for primary data. No one demanded peer review. No one bothered to check if 300,000 deaths were even plausible in the timeframe. Instead, they slapped on heart-wrenching headlines “Trump’s Cuts Could Kill Millions!” and called it a day. This isn’t reporting; it’s Goebbels level propaganda.
This entire story was manufactured, using crap science and crap media to once again attack Elon Musk and President Trump. But also to make sure the attack is steeped in emotional terrorism for maximum effect.
Every single news outlet knows that printing a story that says 300,000 children are as good as dead is going to whip people up into a frenzy. To print the story anyway when you know it’s false is not just evil and reckless, it should be actionable.
It’s also a very chilling indicator of how the media has decided to amp up its negligent reporting and its complete total disregard for the truth.