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2014-2015 Jazzfanz Official #playoffpush thread #rallychurro

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magic said:
LOL. Even if we win the rest of our games, we still wouldn't make the playoffs.

We should be praying for OKC and New Orleans to both lose more than they usually do for the rest of the regular season. Unfortunately, that isn't going to happen.
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Ibaka could be out a few weeks with knee issues. Anthony Davis could get injured any time. Believe, magic. Believe in the Rally Churro!
 
magic said:
LOL. Even if we win the rest of our games, we still wouldn't make the playoffs.

We should be praying for OKC and New Orleans to both lose more than they usually do for the rest of the regular season. Unfortunately, that isn't going to happen.
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Very dubious assertion. If the Jazz win out they finish at 46-36. OKC would have to finish 10-5 to get the 8th seed (Jazz would win tiebreaker).

OKC remaining schedule has 8 games vs top teams (Dallas (2), Atl, SA (2), Mem, Hou, Port), 3 moderate games (Mia, Phx, Bos), 3 easy (SAC, IND, LAL) and Utah.

Assuming the Jazz win-out, if we assume OKC wins 3 easy games, 2-1 against moderate and 4-4 vs top teams, they finish at 9-6 and Jazz take the 8th spot. This is not at all unlikely. To support, Hollinger predicts a 9-6 finish.

The path is easier versus Suns and NO.

So if the Jazz win-out, I'd estimate that they would have about a 50% or better shot at the playoffs.

((All that said, this is all hypothetical as the probability of the Jazz winning out is probably <1%, but that is a different discussion altogether.))
 
silesian said:
Very dubious assertion. If the Jazz win out they finish at 46-36. OKC would have to finish 10-5 to get the 8th seed (Jazz would win tiebreaker).

OKC remaining schedule has 8 games vs top teams (Dallas (2), Atl, SA (2), Mem, Hou, Port), 3 moderate games (Mia, Phx, Bos), 3 easy (SAC, IND, LAL) and Utah.

Assuming the Jazz win-out, if we assume OKC wins 3 easy games, 2-1 against moderate and 4-4 vs top teams, they finish at 9-6 and Jazz take the 8th spot. This is not at all unlikely. To support, Hollinger predicts a 9-6 finish.

The path is easier versus Suns and NO.

So if the Jazz win-out, I'd estimate that they would have about a 50% or better shot at the playoffs.

((All that said, this is all hypothetical as the probability of the Jazz winning out is probably <1%, but that is a different discussion altogether.))
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Right on! Glad you are on board the playoff bandwagon! That churro gonna be delicious
 
ONE LOVE said:
The odds according to ESPN's Hollinger is 0.5%.
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It might be fun to track the playoff probability if the hot streak continues. We have a very easy stretch of 12 games coming up, 9 against (LAL, Min (2), Den (2), PHX, SAC(2), Wash)

It would be a very cool finish to the year if we are within 4 games with 4 games remaining, a tough finish with: Mem, Por, Dal, Hou.

Odds are long, but it could generate a playoff-like atmosphere. And all 4 opponents will likely be playoff-locks at that time, perhaps competing for nothing or at most home court position. So opponents may have less on the line and could be resting stars/ starters.

Not very likely, but fun to think about.
 
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silesian said:
And all 4 opponents will likely be playoff-locks at that time, perhaps competing for nothing or at most home court position. So opponents may have less on the line and could be resting stars/ starters.

Not very likely, but fun to think about.
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Also underrated, the reverse tank, where teams would not want the #1 or #2 seed so as to avoid OKC or San Antonio. The comedy in this is that they will all get steamrolled by the JazzChurroWagon in both the regular season and the playoffs.
 
We are going to be like the 06-07 Warriors in their We Believe run to make the playoffs and then beat then 1 seed! They ended the season on a 18-5 run or something like that and then beat the team with the best record Dallas. We can do the same to them this year!
 
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Broncster said:
We are going to be like the 06-07 Warriors in their We Believe run to make the playoffs and then beat then 1 seed! They ended the season on a 18-5 run or something like that and then beat the team with the best record Dallas. We can do the same to them this year!
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Would be poetic justice after the Warriors tank that scr3wed the Jazz
 
silesian said:
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Would be poetic justice after the Warriors tank that scr3wed the Jazz
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Double poetic justice. The Warriors will have become the Mavericks and be beaten in the selfsame manner; also by the Jazz after they so masturbatorily celebrated Baron Davis' dunk over AK.

YAY! WE'RE NUMBER 8! WE'RE NUMBER 8!
 
silesian said:
Very dubious assertion. If the Jazz win out they finish at 46-36. OKC would have to finish 10-5 to get the 8th seed (Jazz would win tiebreaker).

OKC remaining schedule has 8 games vs top teams (Dallas (2), Atl, SA (2), Mem, Hou, Port), 3 moderate games (Mia, Phx, Bos), 3 easy (SAC, IND, LAL) and Utah.

Assuming the Jazz win-out, if we assume OKC wins 3 easy games, 2-1 against moderate and 4-4 vs top teams, they finish at 9-6 and Jazz take the 8th spot. This is not at all unlikely. To support, Hollinger predicts a 9-6 finish.

The path is easier versus Suns and NO.

So if the Jazz win-out, I'd estimate that they would have about a 50% or better shot at the playoffs.

((All that said, this is all hypothetical as the probability of the Jazz winning out is probably <1%, but that is a different discussion altogether.))
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Before OKC and NO's last game, their win percentage was .561. If the Jazz won the rest of their games they'd have a win percentage of .561.

OKC is getting Durant back, Anthony Davis is healthier, and both teams are more likely to win a higher percentage than their current percentage (due to super star treatment, stepping up, etc). So I would say it's more likely than not that we still wouldn't make the playoffs.
 
magic said:
Before OKC and NO's last game, their win percentage was .561. If the Jazz won the rest of their games they'd have a win percentage of .561.

OKC is getting Durant back, Anthony Davis is healthier, and both teams are more likely to win a higher percentage than their current percentage (due to super star treatment, stepping up, etc). So I would say it's more likely than not that we still wouldn't make the playoffs.
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So he's still here, huh?
 
silesian said:
It might be fun to track the playoff probability if the hot streak continues. We have a very easy stretch of 12 games coming up, 9 against (LAL, Min (2), Den (2), PHX, SAC(2), Wash)

It would be a very cool finish to the year if we are within 4 games with 4 games remaining, a tough finish with: Mem, Por, Dal, Hou.

Odds are long, but it could generate a playoff-like atmosphere. And all 4 opponents will likely be playoff-locks at that time, perhaps competing for nothing or at most home court position. So opponents may have less on the line and could be resting stars/ starters.

Not very likely, but fun to think about.
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If the Jazz win out, those teams are going to rest so that whoever the #1 seed is has to face Utah. If Quin Snyder and the young Utah Jazz can storm back and make the playoffs, NOBODY is going to want to play them in the first round.
 
Hey guys, we are having a churro party last game if the season when the playoff push is on. Mark your calendars. Wednesday April 15. Churro party.
 
Just thought I would stop by, and give my daily blessings & thanks to the #rallychurro
 
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