Sirkickyass has said everything and more that I want to say/reiterate. But I want to echo and add to what he said and Pearl said about finances. 1320 is reporting the ABSOLUTE MAXIMUM amount the Jazz could get, which would mean a record-level payout to non-LT payers for 2011 but also assumes there's a lockout for the 2011-2012 season. The reality is that the Jazz will be taking back more salary than just Diaw, the payout won't be that high AND THAT THERE'S ANOTHER YEAR OF DIAW'S SALARY, in addition to the fact that it likely makes the Jazz LESS flexible in the following year, not more. If Diaw himself was an expiring this would be a different conversation. But we don't know what impact that $9 million is going to have next year.
This whole thing stinks, top (Millers) to bottom (Locke). 1320 is nothing but a propagandha machine.
I have two hopes;
1) That this falls apart, or
2) That the Jazz have REALLY done their homework on this one and KNOW something the dissenters (most of us) don't.
It's my understanding that Diaw has a player's option for next season. How likely is he to just decline the option and work out a long-term deal with someone as an UFA?
This is a GREAT financial move by the Jazz. Yea, it hurts
IF AK plays like he did in 2004. But we've been counting on that for 5 years now and for 5 years he's disappointed, either through injury or uninspired play.
Getting Diaw shores up a weak position for the Jazz. While Okur heals, Millsap/Diaw can man the 4 and allow Jefferson to play all his minutes at the 5. And that means we only see Elson/Fesenko for 12 mins/per.
Hayward has obviously impressed the Jazz brass. I expect him to average 20 mins/per, similar to the rookie seasons for Pavlovic and Millsap. And we haven't even mentioned Evans. Reports out of the player scrimmages are that Deron and the rest are super impressed. Evans could be a breakout player for Utah just like Paul was as a rookie.
Give CJ 30 mins/per, Hayward 20, Evans 10 mins, Raja 25. And I fully expect Watson to get 20 mins/per. Jerry will play a 2 PG offense some of the time, just like he did woth Deron and Maynor. All of a sudden, you have a logjam starting to develop.
So the Jazz get Diaw and are probably about the same as they would have been with AK. But, the Jazz may very well be able to get under the luxury tax threshold. If not, they get very, very close. So let's just say they get rid of AK's $17.2M and take back $10M in return (Diaw + Ross). That $14M+ in salary/tax savings.
Then, they either have Diaw's expiring next season, or Boris declines his option in order to sign as a FA with someone else (similar to Boozer's situation 2 summers ago).